Entscheidungsanalyse zur Unterstützung von Flussrevitalisierungen
Viele Europäische Flüsse sind durch menschliche Eingriffe beeinträchtigt worden, was zu negativen Effekten auf Lebewesen in den Gewässern führen kann und zu einer Beeinträchtigung von Ökosystemdienstleistungen. Flussrevitalisierungen können solche Beeinträchtigungen teilweise rückgängig machen, aber solche Projekte sind oft teuer. Es ist deshalb wichtig, dass Ressourcen effizient genutzt werden. Das bedingt, dass wir klar definierte und messbare Ziele formulieren können, mit deren Hilfe wir Vorhersagen über den Ausgang von unterschiedlichen Flussrevitalisierungsmassnahmen machen können. Schlussendlich ist es das Ziel eines solchen systematischen Vorgehens, Entscheiderinnen und Entscheider dabei zu unterstützen eine gut informierte, beste Wahl zwischen unterschiedlichen Restaurierungs-Alternativen zu treffen.
Die Eawag führt seit Jahren transdisziplinäre Forschung im Bereich Flussrevitalisierung durch. Die Multikriterielle Entscheidungsanalyse (MCDA) ist eine sehr geeignete Methode um Massnahmen im Bereich Flussrevitaliserungen zur priorisieren. MCDA ermöglicht ein standardisiertes Vorgehen, bei dem die Bewertung des jetzigen ökologischen Zustandes mit der Vorhersage über die Konsequenzen von Rehabilitierungen verbunden werden kann und die Präferenzen von Akteuren und Expertinnen über die Ziele, die sie erreichen möchten, berücksichtigt werden können.
An der Eawag wurden einige Projekte im Bereich Entscheidungsunterstützung für Revitalisierungen und Management von Flüssen durchgeführt, primär in der Abteilung Siam (siehe Systemanalyse und Wassermanagement und ökologische Modellierung). Neuere Arbeiten betreffen die Standardisierung von Bewertungsverfahren welche auf Prinzipien der MCDA beruhen (z.B. bezüglich der Aggregation von unterschiedlichen Indikatoren), die Validität von üblichen Vereinfachungen in der MCDA (z.B. lineare Wertefunktionen, additive Aggregation) und betreffen konzeptuelle Grundlagen von Entscheidungsunterstützung im Umweltbereich (siehe Publikationen).
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description => protected'River rehabilitation aims at alleviating negative effects of human impacts s uch as loss of biodiversity and reduction of ecosystem services. Such interv entions entail difficult trade-offs between different ecological and often s ocio-economic objectives. Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) is a very suitable approach that helps assessing the current ecological state and prio ritizing river rehabilitation measures in a standardized way, based on stake holder or expert preferences. Applications of MCDA in river rehabilitation p rojects are often simplified, i.e. using a limited number of objectives and indicators, assuming linear value functions, aggregating individual indicato r assessments additively, and/or assuming risk neutrality of experts. Here, we demonstrate an implementation of MCDA expert preference assessments to ri ver rehabilitation and provide ample material for other applications. To tes t whether the above simplifications reflect common expert opinion, we carrie d out very detailed interviews with five river ecologists and a hydraulic en gineer. We defined essential objectives and measurable quality indicators (a ttributes), elicited the experts´ preferences for objectives on a standardi zed scale (value functions) and their risk attitude, and identified suitable aggregation methods. The experts recommended an extensive objectives hierar chy including between 54 and 93 essential objectives and between 37 to 61 es sential attributes. For 81% of these, they defined non-linear value function s and in 76% recommended multiplicative aggregation. The experts were risk a verse or risk prone (but never risk neutral), depending on the current ecolo gical state of the river, and the experts´ personal importance of objective s. We conclude that the four commonly applied simplifications clearly do not reflect the opinion of river rehabilitation experts. The optimal level of m odel complexity, however, remains highly case-study specific depending on da ta and resource availabi...' (2062 chars)
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categories => protected'multi-criteria decision analysis; environmental management; societal decisio n support; stakeholder involvement; intersubjective probabilities; multi-att ribute value theory; multi-attribute utility theory; uncertainty; river mana gement' (234 chars)
description => protected'Environmental decision support intends to use the best available scientific knowledge to help decision makers find and evaluate management alternatives. The goal of this process is to achieve the best fulfillment of societal obj ectives. This requires a careful analysis of (i) how scientific knowledge ca n be represented and quantified, (ii) how societal preferences can be descri bed and elicited, and (iii) how these concepts can best be used to support c ommunication with authorities, politicians, and the public in environmental management. The goal of this paper is to discuss key requirements for a conc eptual framework to address these issues and to suggest how these can best b e met. We argue that a combination of probability theory and scenario planni ng with multi-attribute utility theory fulfills these requirements, and disc uss adaptations and extensions of these theories to improve their applicatio n for supporting environmental decision making. With respect to (i) we sugge st the use of intersubjective probabilities, if required extended to impreci se probabilities, to describe the current state of scientific knowledge. To address (ii), we emphasize the importance of value functions, in addition to utilities, to support decisions under risk. We discuss the need for testing "non-standard" value aggregation techniques, the usefulness of flexibility of value functions regarding attribute data availability, the elicitation of value functions for sub-objectives from experts, and the consideration of u ncertainty in value and utility elicitation. With respect to (iii), we outli ne a well-structured procedure for transparent environmental decision suppor t that is based on a clear separation of scientific prediction and societal valuation. We illustrate aspects of the suggested methodology by its applica tion to river management in general and with a small, didactical case study on spatial river rehabilitation prioritization.' (1947 chars)
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description => protected'River monitoring and assessment programs are important tools to quantify the condition of river ecosystems, identify deficits, and provide preliminary i ndication of how to improve them. But, they are limited in delivering compar able assessment results across national or transnational borders, aggregatin g site-specific assessments into broader scale assessments, and supporting r iver management decisions. We present a multi-criteria decision analysis app roach for improving the comparability of ecological assessment methods of di fferent origin and for combining these assessments into a joint procedure. T he approach consists of seven consecutive steps. The most central ones conce rn the hierarchical allocation of ecological assessment endpoints, and the h armonization of the scoring procedure of attributes (ecological indicators o r assets) to a common scale from 0 to 1. We demonstrate the approach integra ting three programs developed to assess the hydromorphological river conditi on in Switzerland, Germany, and the USA. In our example, the integrated asse ssment produces comparable results for the whole range from natural to impac ted rivers, while data continuity with original assessments was maintained. Our approach provides a common assessment standard due to the definition of the minimum amount of information required, is flexible regarding measuremen t and assessment endpoints, and bridges the gap between river quality assess ment and management.' (1464 chars)
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Four common simplifications of multi-criteria decision analysis do not hold for river rehabilitation
River rehabilitation aims at alleviating negative effects of human impacts such as loss of biodiversity and reduction of ecosystem services. Such interventions entail difficult trade-offs between different ecological and often socio-economic objectives. Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) is a very suitable approach that helps assessing the current ecological state and prioritizing river rehabilitation measures in a standardized way, based on stakeholder or expert preferences. Applications of MCDA in river rehabilitation projects are often simplified, i.e. using a limited number of objectives and indicators, assuming linear value functions, aggregating individual indicator assessments additively, and/or assuming risk neutrality of experts. Here, we demonstrate an implementation of MCDA expert preference assessments to river rehabilitation and provide ample material for other applications. To test whether the above simplifications reflect common expert opinion, we carried out very detailed interviews with five river ecologists and a hydraulic engineer. We defined essential objectives and measurable quality indicators (attributes), elicited the experts´ preferences for objectives on a standardized scale (value functions) and their risk attitude, and identified suitable aggregation methods. The experts recommended an extensive objectives hierarchy including between 54 and 93 essential objectives and between 37 to 61 essential attributes. For 81% of these, they defined non-linear value functions and in 76% recommended multiplicative aggregation. The experts were risk averse or risk prone (but never risk neutral), depending on the current ecological state of the river, and the experts´ personal importance of objectives. We conclude that the four commonly applied simplifications clearly do not reflect the opinion of river rehabilitation experts. The optimal level of model complexity, however, remains highly case-study specific depending on data and resource availability, the context, and the complexity of the decision problem.
Langhans, S. D.; Lienert, J. (2016) Four common simplifications of multi-criteria decision analysis do not hold for river rehabilitation, PLoS One, 11(3), e0150695 (27 pp.), doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0150695, Institutional Repository
The conceptual foundation of environmental decision support
Environmental decision support intends to use the best available scientific knowledge to help decision makers find and evaluate management alternatives. The goal of this process is to achieve the best fulfillment of societal objectives. This requires a careful analysis of (i) how scientific knowledge can be represented and quantified, (ii) how societal preferences can be described and elicited, and (iii) how these concepts can best be used to support communication with authorities, politicians, and the public in environmental management. The goal of this paper is to discuss key requirements for a conceptual framework to address these issues and to suggest how these can best be met. We argue that a combination of probability theory and scenario planning with multi-attribute utility theory fulfills these requirements, and discuss adaptations and extensions of these theories to improve their application for supporting environmental decision making. With respect to (i) we suggest the use of intersubjective probabilities, if required extended to imprecise probabilities, to describe the current state of scientific knowledge. To address (ii), we emphasize the importance of value functions, in addition to utilities, to support decisions under risk. We discuss the need for testing "non-standard" value aggregation techniques, the usefulness of flexibility of value functions regarding attribute data availability, the elicitation of value functions for sub-objectives from experts, and the consideration of uncertainty in value and utility elicitation. With respect to (iii), we outline a well-structured procedure for transparent environmental decision support that is based on a clear separation of scientific prediction and societal valuation. We illustrate aspects of the suggested methodology by its application to river management in general and with a small, didactical case study on spatial river rehabilitation prioritization.
Reichert, P.; Langhans, S. D.; Lienert, J.; Schuwirth, N. (2015) The conceptual foundation of environmental decision support, Journal of Environmental Management, 154, 316-332, doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2015.01.053, Institutional Repository
How to make river assessments comparable: a demonstration for hydromorphology
River monitoring and assessment programs are important tools to quantify the condition of river ecosystems, identify deficits, and provide preliminary indication of how to improve them. But, they are limited in delivering comparable assessment results across national or transnational borders, aggregating site-specific assessments into broader scale assessments, and supporting river management decisions. We present a multi-criteria decision analysis approach for improving the comparability of ecological assessment methods of different origin and for combining these assessments into a joint procedure. The approach consists of seven consecutive steps. The most central ones concern the hierarchical allocation of ecological assessment endpoints, and the harmonization of the scoring procedure of attributes (ecological indicators or assets) to a common scale from 0 to 1. We demonstrate the approach integrating three programs developed to assess the hydromorphological river condition in Switzerland, Germany, and the USA. In our example, the integrated assessment produces comparable results for the whole range from natural to impacted rivers, while data continuity with original assessments was maintained. Our approach provides a common assessment standard due to the definition of the minimum amount of information required, is flexible regarding measurement and assessment endpoints, and bridges the gap between river quality assessment and management.
Langhans, S. D.; Lienert, J.; Schuwirth, N.; Reichert, P. (2013) How to make river assessments comparable: a demonstration for hydromorphology, Ecological Indicators, 32, 264-275, doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2013.03.027, Institutional Repository
Meeting the challenges of transdisciplinary knowledge production for sustainable water governance
Increasing pressure on mountain water resources is making it necessary to address water governance issues in a transdisciplinary way. This entails drawing on different disciplinary perspectives, different types of knowledge, and different interests to answer complex governance questions. This study identifies strategies for addressing specific challenges to transdisciplinary knowledge production aiming at sustainable and reflective water governance. The study draws on the experiences of 5 large transdisciplinary water governance research projects conducted in Austria and Switzerland (Alp-Water-Scarce, MontanAqua, Drought-CH, Sustainable Water Infrastructure Planning, and an integrative river management project in the Kamp Valley). Experiences were discussed and systematically analyzed in a workshop and subsequent interviews. These discussions identified 4 important challenges to interactions between scientists and stakeholders—ensuring stakeholder legitimacy, encouraging participation, managing expectations, and preventing misuse of data and research results—and explored strategies used by the projects to meet them. Strategies ranged from key points to be considered in stakeholder selection to measures that enhance trustful relationships and create commitment.
Renner, R.; Schneider, F.; Hohenwallner, D.; Kopeinig, C.; Kruse, S.; Lienert, J.; Link, S.; Muhar, S. (2013) Meeting the challenges of transdisciplinary knowledge production for sustainable water governance, Mountain Research and Development, 33(3), 234-247, doi:10.1659/MRD-JOURNAL-D-13-00002.1, Institutional Repository